Germany’s birth rate is so low that hospitals are fighting over expectant mothers, reports The New York Times. While many Third World countries would be thrilled by fewer babies, Germany’s population drop, despite an influx of immigrants, is a sign of economic trouble.
Without immigration, the population of Germany would drop from 82 million people now to 24 million by 2100. Even at today’s immigration rate, Germany’s population will drop by 700,000 over 15 years.
The result is a society increasingly growing older. By 2050, one in three Germans will be over 65. The population decline is already stressing that nation’s ability to provide social services, but the situation will worsen as more and more Germans retire with fewer youngsters to work and pay taxes.
Why so few children? A trend seems to be emerging in Germany that matches anecdotally what’s apparent in other nations with dropping birth rates: society no longer values having multiple children. Here’s the Times’ take on Germany:
Slobodanka Jovanovic, a Bosnian who came to Germany 13 years ago, just gave birth to a girl, her second child. Recovering in the maternity ward, Ms. Jovanovic said she would not contemplate having a third child. “The biggest reason is financial,” she said. “We don’t get enough support from the state.”
A blunt-spoken woman who works as a hairdresser, Ms. Jovanovic, 32, said she also felt that children were neither particularly welcome nor prized in German society. Her neighbors, she said, complained more when her child cried at night than if she threw a party or played music.
“They want their houses, they want their cars, they want their peace,” she said, apologizing to her German roommate, Simone Schönhoff, and her husband, Thorsten, who were preparing for the birth of twins.
“It is partly selfishness,” Mr. Schönhoff agreed. “They want a Mercedes, and it costs so much that they can’t afford a child.”
Mrs. Schönhoff noted, however, that women were motivated by something else: a fear that they will cramp their professional options if they stay at home too long. While German family leave laws are generous, allowing either parent to take three years off and return to their jobs, Mrs. Schönhoff, a secretary, says she plans to stay at home no longer than six months.
The comments mirror those coming out of Singapore, which I wrote about in September. In that country, Singaporeans complain that they are so focused on work that they’re too stressed to even have sex, much less consider having a child. Women repeatedly express fears that taking maternity leave will cost them their job. In that country, the lifetime birth rate is 1.25 children per woman, compared with Germany’s 1.5 rate.
America’s current rate is closer to 2.1 children per woman, which would keep population constant, but the overall birthrate is falling. Immigration is the only reason America continues to grow. The birthrate in 2004 (so far) fell to an all-time low of 13.8 births per 1,000 women versus 16.7 births in 1990, reports Health and Human Services and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
Some of the same forces in America are likely contributing to the smaller if not empty nests. Simply put, it’s expensive to have children in this country. The simple cost of buying a larger car, car seats, strollers, extra food and a bigger house can scare many families away from having children. Also to blame are fertility problems caused by women who have children late in life and environmental factors that damage reproductive systems of both sexes.
But the drop in births may also be hidden in America’s changing social values, because many people seem to me less tolerant of children. While we still get a lot of people who say, “Oh, Seth is so cute,” we get an equal number of stares that say “He’s cute, but keep him, and all kids, away from me.” Indeed, I have numerous friends who say they’ll never have children. Or maybe it’s simple materialism as mentioned by the German mother above.
I should note that I’m not sure this drop in fertility is a good or bad thing, considering the planet is already overpopulated, but it is a phenomenon industrialized countries will have to cope with for decades to come.
Recent Comments
Ignored Chemical Dangers
Ignored Chemical Dangers