I’m still trying to wrap my mind around President Bush’s latest Social Security proposal. I would love to argue the specifics, but the plan is so complicated it may be weeks before I fully understand it. (I still have a full-time job and a family to worry about, you know.)
I do have a generalized understanding of the proposal, which involves something called “Progressive Price Indexing.” That means benefits would decline for everyone except the lowest economic class, reports the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.
Conceivably, Americans from all walks of life eventually would wind up with the same benefit under the Bush plan. I say eventually, because benefits for those over 55 would not be touched, reports The Washington Post.
To give you an idea of how this would effect a person making $90,000 a year today and retiring in 2025, consider this table I derived from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities:
Annual Social Security Benefits
For employee making $90,000 in 2005
Year || Current Plan || Bush Plan
2025 || $25,929 || 22,999
2045 || 32,153 || 22,829
2075 || 44,236 || 22,428
2100 || 58,150 || 22,428
As you can see, an upper middle class family would make considerably less under Bush’s proposed plan, but a middle class family would be hit even harder, because of a heavier reliance on Social Security dollars:
Annual Social Security Benefits
For employee making $58,411,000 in 2005
Year || Current Plan || Bush Plan
2025 || $21,228 || 19,190
2045 || 26,302 || 19,858
2075 || 36,254 || 21,100
2100 || 47,658 || 22,428
If you are younger than 55, you must sense the irony here: Bush is trying to pit the old against the young, parents against children. It’s an impressive sucker punch that may leave the younger Baby Boomers and all who follow paying for our elders retirement with nothing to show for ourselves.
That’s where private investment accounts come in. The plan Bush is proposing fits perfectly with private investment accounts, which would be the carrot demanded by the younger generation for accepting these huge cuts in their benefits.
That leaves one piece unspoken: the trillions of dollars the federal government would need to borrow to start the private investment accounts. More on that will come out later as a formal plan starts to wend its way through Congress over the next few months.
In the meantime, Americans need to think long and hard about this plan. With much of the safety net under the Middle Class already removed, do those under 55 have enough for their retirement years, even with private accounts? I suspect not, but that’s not how the Libertarians see it.
“What you’re going to see is an effort to scale back middle-class entitlements that many people do not need and to become more focused on the antipoverty aspects of these programs,” Michael Tanner, an expert on Social Security at the Libertarian Cato Institute, tells the Los Angeles Times. “We’re going to tell non-poor Americans that they are going to have to save more on their own and not depend on a transfer from government.”
What transfer? We pay in, we should get paid back. But then, that’s the type of fight Bush is hoping we sink into, because it strengthens his argument that private investment funds are needed.
Keep in mind, the new plan transforms Social Security from a retirement fund into more of a welfare program for only the poorest. But here’s the price in a nutshell: If you make middle class wages all your life but the bottom falls out of your 401k and pension plans, you could wind up as poor in retirement as those who spent their entire life at the bottom. Think it can’t happen? Ask retirees at United Airlines who have essentially lost their pensions and their company stock-based retirement funds.
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